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Credit Risk & Underwriting

Concentration Risk in Shipping Portfolios

Summary

Concentration risk arises when exposure is clustered by vessel type, charterer, sponsor, fleet age, geography, bank counterparty or financing maturity.

Why this matters in ship finance

Loans that appear diversified by ship number may react similarly to the same freight or trade shock.

The concept

Diversification should be examined along economic dependencies, not just legal borrowers. Cross-guarantees, same ship managers, cargo flows and common debt maturity dates can create hidden correlations.

How it is used in practice

Aggregate exposures and stress earnings and collateral by segment, sponsor and counterparty, including correlated default and recovery outcomes.

Practical issues

Count of vessels is a poor standalone diversification measure. Portfolio risk models must document data gaps and correlations.

How ShipFinance.ai uses this concept

Provide multi-dimensional exposure matrices and portfolio stress tests.

Key takeaways

  • Common drivers matter more than ship count
  • Hidden sponsor links create concentration
  • Correlations may rise under stress